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Market Outlook - April 16, 2010

The Nifty now looks weak, we hardly anticipated this kind of a selloff; now, however, we need to be very vigilant since it has-in one shot-come down close to the 5250- mark, there could be some more selling and the index could well come down to test the major support at 5234. In fact, the range between 5234 and 5221, is most likely to provide very good support to the index, if at all the index decides to test those significant levels.

On the way up, first, the range between 5305 and 5310 would bring in a lot of obstacles now. Once the Nifty manages to get past that range it would test 5322 – 5325 range for there could be again some supply pressure. Once even that range is taken out it can make a beeline to move up quickly to 5337 and 5349.

However, prior to the levels of 5300 or higher, the level of 5281 is quite a tough one for the bulls. And only when we climb back above 5356, we might consider that bulls have acquired true firepower to take market up again.

Rajat K. Bose

Notes:
* All prices relate to the NSE, unless otherwise mentioned.
*

Stop-loss levels are given so that there is a level below/above, which the market will tell us that the call has gone wrong. Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism; it should always be there.

*

Book, at least, part profits when the prices reach their targets; if you continue to hold on to positions then use trailing stops to lock in your profits.

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Don't chase a stock, if you are unable to buy a stock because it hits circuit levels on successive days, don't buy that.

* The analyst and his clients may or may not have positions in the securities mentioned above.
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Trading involves considerable risk. Trade at your own risk to the extent you are comfortable. The analyst shall not be responsible for any losses incurred for acting on these recommendations.

Rajat K Bose
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