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Market Outlook - January 13, 2010

Today, we expect the downswing to continue. Support exists between 5180 and 5150; however, if that gets broken bears will tighten their grip and push the index even lower. In that case, a probable test of 5130 - 5104 range may happen. Beyond that we might see a possible test of 5070 as well.

On the upside, unless the Nifty clears 5254 again there is every likelihood that selling will come back in a big way. In any case, even if it were to move beyond 5254 till such 5305 is decisively cleared no upswing would be sustained since that is the Chinese Wall bulls would have to get past.

International market might continue showing weakness on China tightening its monetary policy and the US weakness.
Technology stocks may continue in their pullback rally but the rest of the market could become wobbly again.

Rajat K Bose

Notes:
* All prices relate to the NSE, unless otherwise mentioned.
*

Stop-loss levels are given so that there is a level below/above, which the market will tell us that the call has gone wrong. Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism; it should always be there.

*

Book, at least, part profits when the prices reach their targets; if you continue to hold on to positions then use trailing stops to lock in your profits.

*

Don't chase a stock, if you are unable to buy a stock because it hits circuit levels on successive days, don't buy that.

* The analyst and his clients may or may not have positions in the securities mentioned above.
*

Trading involves considerable risk. Trade at your own risk to the extent you are comfortable. The analyst shall not be responsible for any losses incurred for acting on these recommendations.

Rajat K Bose
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