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Market Outlook -
March 04,
2010 |
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Market continues to look bullish here
irrespective of the Wall Street’s sneezing in
the aftermath of Obama Health Care speech. Asia
is trading in the positive territory; however,
Australia and Japan are marginally in the red.
The SGX March Nifty is trading at 5088.50 as we
write this market outlook. Chances are we would
see a continuation of the upswing of the last
three trading sessions even today since momentum
is clearly in the bulls’ favor.
The NSE VIX has moved further down to 20.75 and
the PCR has increased to 1.27-both are
indicating further strength for the bulls. The
fact that March Nifty 5100 Put option is also
adding more than 1.1 million shares to its open
interest tally clearly gives the confidence
level of the bulls.
FIIs are on the buy mode: they have bought in
all categories-cash segment, index futures and
options and also stock futures in substantial
quantities. We all know that our market dances
to the tune of FII music much more than anything
else.
We repeat: 0n the upside, above 5054, the levels
to keep in mind would be 5063, 5086 and then
5137. Any major upswing would, however, be
severely tested between 5150 and 5180 as it has
been a strong supply zone any journey up.
Now, support levels would be 5054 and 5023 and
below that the level of 5000 would act as a
major support. Unless 4935 is now broken bears
would not regain their initiative back.
Rajat K. Bose |
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| Notes: |
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All prices relate to the NSE, unless otherwise mentioned. |
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Stop-loss levels are given so that there is a level below/above, which the market will tell us that the call has gone wrong. Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism; it should always be there. |
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Book, at least, part profits when the prices reach their targets; if you continue to hold on to positions then use trailing stops to lock in your profits. |
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Don't chase a stock, if you are unable to buy a stock because it hits circuit levels on successive days, don't buy that. |
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The analyst and his clients may or may not have positions in the securities mentioned above. |
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Trading involves considerable risk. Trade at your own risk to the extent you are comfortable. The analyst shall not be responsible for any losses incurred for acting on these
recommendations. |
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Rajat K Bose
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