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Market Outlook -
March 05,
2010 |
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Our market continues to look bullish.
Indications are that it would, most likely,
scale up to 5150 - 5180 before any significant
correction happens. The US market recovered
night from an early fall from higher levels to
see the Dow close at 10444, up by 47 points. The
S&P 500 closed at 1123 and the Nasdaq 2292 on an
average they gained by more than 0.4%.
Among the Asian markets, Japan is strongly up
with an expectation of monetary easing by the
Bank of Japan in April: the Nikkei is up by more
than 2%. Taiwan is also up by 1.38%. Others are
up anywhere between 0.2% and 0.8%. No market is
trading in the red.
Our man the SGX March Nifty is up by 33 points
at 5112.50 in early morning trades. We tend to
think a move towards 5150 – 5180 appears highly
likely for the Nifty index as well as both the
SGX March Nifty and the March Nifty future here.
This is now surely now within the realm of
possibility.
On the way up, above 5100, the first key level
to watch out for would be 5121 and after that
5137. Next in line would be the level of 5149,
5163 and 5181.
Now, even if we see the market retracing anytime
during the day, the range between 5057 and 5043
would be acting as a strong support area.
The fact that the Nifty PCR has moved beyond
1.30 is surely a heartening sign for the
bulls-it has moved up from 1.27 to 1.34.
However, yesterday in late session there had
been quite a bit of short covering as Nifty
Futures open interest fell by 200,000 shares and
the seven point discount changed into a one
point premium. The NSE VIX has moved up now from
near its calendar 2010 low of 20.34; it touched
a low of 20.45 and closed at 20.98, up by 23
basis points over its previous close.
Rajat K. Bose |
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| Notes: |
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All prices relate to the NSE, unless otherwise mentioned. |
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Stop-loss levels are given so that there is a level below/above, which the market will tell us that the call has gone wrong. Stop-loss is an essential risk control mechanism; it should always be there. |
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Book, at least, part profits when the prices reach their targets; if you continue to hold on to positions then use trailing stops to lock in your profits. |
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Don't chase a stock, if you are unable to buy a stock because it hits circuit levels on successive days, don't buy that. |
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The analyst and his clients may or may not have positions in the securities mentioned above. |
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Trading involves considerable risk. Trade at your own risk to the extent you are comfortable. The analyst shall not be responsible for any losses incurred for acting on these
recommendations. |
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Rajat K Bose
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